Facebook LinkedIn Twitter Youtube RSS

Academic model: Romney will take 52.9% of the vote, 320 electoral votes

Tags: No Tags
Comments: No Comments
Published on: August 23, 2012

Three reasons why: Economy, economy, economy.

Supposedly, the model’s been accurate to within 20 or so electoral votes in every election since 1980. Dude?

Using a state-by-state analysis of unemployment and per-capita income, academics Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry of the University of Colorado project that Romney will win 52.9% of the popular vote and 320 electoral votes. The political scientists discuss their findings here.

Their forecast suggests that President Obama will lose in almost all of the swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida…

Bickers said much of the polling thus far means relatively little, with much of the electorate still not focused on the race. The academics said their model focuses on the preeminent issue of the economy. Applied retrospectively, the model predicts the correct winner in every presidential contest going back to 1980, they said.

I’m highly skeptical that Romney’s going to come back to take Pennsylvania, even though O’s lead there right now isn’t prohibitive. But like the man says, the model’s usually off by 20 or so EVs. Number of electoral votes Pennsylvania has this year: 20. Golden.

Read More…

Share This!
Weibo ButtonTencent ButtonQzone ButtonReddit ButtonStumbleUpon ButtonDigg ButtonOrkut ButtonBookmarks ButtonBlogger Button
Share This!

Leave a Reply

Crush Marxism!
ArabicChinese (Traditional)DanishDutchEnglishFilipinoFrenchGermanGreekHebrewHindiItalianJapaneseKoreanNorwegianPolishPortugueseRussianSpanishSwedish
Shop And Support Us!
Join The Fight!
Defend Marriage and Stop President Obama's Unconstitutional Power Grab

Join The NRA and Get $10 off a Yearly Membership!
WWTL Twitter Feed
  • New TV Ad Exposes Obama's Benghazi Treason! gd.is/QsNxPB | 49 minutes ago
  • OPSEC Seeks Donations To Run Anti-Obama Ad Against 'Seal Team Six' Movie gd.is/xRDmRq | 55 minutes ago
  • Video: SEAL Father: Obama, Biden, Clinton showed no remorse Over Dead Americans in Libya gd.is/QWVt8L | 1 hour ago
  • Video: Emotional Pat Caddell on the MSM Ignoring Benghazi: “These people have no honor!” gd.is/mDJ2p7 | 1 hour ago
  • Video: Obama Supporters Slam ‘Romney’ Policies…Then Find Out They’re Actually Obama’s! gd.is/yVgJDH | 2 hours ago
  • Did Obama Refuse To Aid Our Men In Benghazi? gd.is/pJmvOs | 2 hours ago
  • Napolitano says more than 3,000 illegal immigrants applying daily under Obama Amnesty (1M a year) gd.is/nTwk9q | 2 hours ago
  • Video: Pat Caddell Sees a 'Tidal Wave' Election in November! gd.is/FbJ2Hs | 3 hours ago
  • Romney's on a roll: Watch for a cascade of support that sweeps away the Obama regime! gd.is/hLzOkw | 3 hours ago
  • Obama Administration Replaces Top Generals Following Benghazi Disaster gd.is/cJrQQn | 3 hours ago
  • Independents’ Day: Romney’s advantage with unaffiliated voters could prove key gd.is/W5DXBq | 3 hours ago
  • From Freerepublic.com: How Many Staes Can Romney Win? gd.is/gZ5gFR | 3 hours ago
  • Video: Lt. Col. Tony Shaffer: My sources tell me Obama was in the room watching Benghazi attack! gd.is/FX7NaI | 3 hours ago
  • Video: Muslim Brotherhood Behind Benghazi Attack With Link To Obama gd.is/OxhBcY | 4 hours ago
  • Obama's Approval Rating Has Collapsed In The Past 3 Days gd.is/zUWUpa | 4 hours ago
  • Creepy Libtard Video: Children Sing Obama's Romney Hatred in New Ad gd.is/EepZQQ | 4 hours ago
  • AP Writers Claim Their 'Poll' Shows 'Majority Harbor Prejudice Against Blacks' gd.is/JPScwb | 4 hours ago
  • @Obama_Biden2012 Yes, de pipples must be converted to the glories of bolshevism. Only our leader Obama can do dis! Tenks you veddy much. | 1 day ago
  • Blast From The Past: O'Reilly Warns Obama: 'All Hell Will Break Loose If You Backdoor Healthcare' gd.is/wgXKaw | 1 day ago
  • Obama rebuts claims he’s lying about attack on US Consulate in Libya gd.is/XcaQAE | 1 day ago
Follow @wewintheylose
Welcome , today is Sunday, October 28, 2012